FNUS75 KBOU 151206 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BETTY DICK S RX...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 453 AM MST TUE FEB 15 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WARM UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING A MILD DAY TO THE BURN SITE. THE WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL HELP BREAK THE SHALLOW INVERSIONS THIS MORNING...AND ALLOW FOR VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSION THIS AFTERNOON. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY ALTHOUGH CLOUDS WILL THICKEN IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. SNOW WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY WITH TEMPERATURES TURNING COLDER. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-48. MIN HUMIDITY........19%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21-32 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 32-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 4800-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN EXCELLENT AFTER 1300. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....21. MAX HUMIDITY........58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21-32 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN AROUND 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1700...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....45. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 13-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 28 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24-32 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 36-44 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5800-6800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 1300. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BETTY DICK S RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/15-04 41 0 26 54 W 5 1 1454 W 28 35134 P 02/15-05 20 0 26 53 W 5 12 4 1 NW49 1521 W 28 36602 P 02/15-06 20 0 26 57 W 6 1 1492 W 25 33397 P 02/15-07 20 0 26 57 W 7 1 1462 W 24 30191 P 02/15-08 20 0 27 55 W 7 12 4 1 W38 1433 W 22 26986 P 02/15-09 20 0 31 48 W 7 1 2580 W 25 61814 G 02/15-10 20 0 36 36 W 8 1 3727 W 28 96643 G 02/15-11 27 0 42 27 SW 9 15 4 1 W39 4875 W 31 131472 V 02/15-12 27 0 44 24 SW 10 1 5109 W 33 149801 V 02/15-13 27 0 46 22 SW 12 1 5344 W 36 168130 E 02/15-14 33 0 48 20 SW 13 20 4 1 W45 5579 W 38 186459 E 02/15-15 33 0 46 21 W 14 1 5481 W 38 179666 E 02/15-16 33 0 48 19 W 14 1 5382 W 37 172872 E 02/15-17 32 0 46 21 W 13 20 4 1 W47 5284 W 36 166078 E 02/15-18 32 0 38 28 W 12 1 4235 W 33 127397 V 02/15-19 32 0 35 32 W 10 1 3187 SW 30 88716 G 02/15-20 32 0 33 35 W 10 15 3 1 SW44 2138 SW 26 50035 F 02/15-21 32 0 31 39 W 9 1 1800 SW 25 40457 F 02/15-22 32 0 28 43 W 8 1 1462 SW 23 30879 P 02/15-23 32 0 27 45 W 8 8 2 1 W44 1123 SW 22 21301 P 02/16-00 32 0 27 47 W 9 1 938 SW 22 17570 P 02/16-01 32 0 25 49 W 10 1 752 SW 21 13839 P 02/16-02 30 0 23 54 W 12 17 2 1 W28 566 SW 21 10108 P 02/16-03 30 0 22 58 W 13 1 575 SW 21 10561 P 02/16-04 30 0 22 58 W 14 1 583 SW 22 11014 P 02/16-05 32 0 23 55 W 15 23 2 1 SW36 592 SW 22 11467 P 02/16-06 32 0 21 57 W 15 1 955 SW 24 21550 P 02/16-07 32 0 22 55 SW 16 1 1319 SW 26 31632 P 02/16-08 32 0 23 53 SW 16 24 2 1 SW48 1682 SW 29 41715 F 02/16-09 32 0 24 53 SW 17 1 2967 SW 30 82026 G 02/16-10 32 0 31 40 SW 18 1 4251 SW 32 122336 V 02/16-11 40 0 37 33 SW 18 28 2 1 W45 5536 SW 33 162646 E 02/16-12 40 0 41 29 SW 17 1 5953 W 36 188182 E 02/16-13 40 0 43 26 SW 17 1 6370 W 38 213717 E 02/16-14 40 0 44 25 SW 16 24 3 1 W63 6787 W 40 239253 E 02/16-15 40 0 44 26 SW 16 1 6799 W 41 245676 E 02/16-16 40 0 42 27 SW 17 1 6812 W 43 252099 E 02/16-17 65 28 41 29 SW 17 26 2 1 W73 6824 W 44 258521 E 02/16-18 65 28 36 35 SW 17 1 6349 W 44 241413 E 02/16-19 65 28 34 38 SW 17 1 5874 W 44 224305 E 02/16-20 71 28 32 42 SW 17 26 2 1 W70 5399 SW 44 207197 E 02/16-21 71 28 30 47 SW 17 1 5160 SW 45 199969 E 02/16-22 71 28 28 53 SW 18 1 4922 SW 45 192742 E 02/16-23 72 58 27 57 SW 18 28 2 1 W74 4684 SW 46 185514 E 02/17-00 72 58 26 59 SW 18 1 4652 SW 46 186420 E 02/17-01 72 58 25 63 SW 18 1 4620 SW 47 187327 E 02/17-02 85 58 24 67 SW 18 28 2 1 W76 4588 SW 47 188233 E 02/17-03 85 58 23 70 SW 18 1 4695 SW 46 187203 E 02/17-04 85 58 22 75 SW 20 1 4801 SW 45 186173 E 02/17-05 91 62 23 73 SW 20 30 2 1 W77 4907 SW 44 185143 E 02/17-06 91 62 22 78 SW 20 1 5048 SW 44 190268 E 02/17-07 91 62 22 79 W 21 1 5189 W 44 195392 E 02/17-08 91 62 23 77 W 21 31 2 1 W73 5330 W 44 200516 E 02/17-09 91 62 24 74 W 22 1 5445 W 43 199934 E 02/17-10 91 62 27 66 W 23 1 5560 W 41 199352 E 02/17-11 89 62 30 57 W 23 35 2 1 W77 5675 W 40 198769 E 02/17-12 89 62 32 52 W 23 1 5997 W 41 213584 E 02/17-13 89 62 33 48 W 22 1 6318 W 41 228399 E 02/17-14 89 62 34 43 W 21 31 2 1 SW79 6640 W 43 243214 E 02/17-15 89 62 32 44 W 20 1 6955 W 41 252898 E 02/17-16 89 62 33 38 W 17 1 7270 W 41 262582 E 02/17-17 82 35 32 38 W 16 24 2 1 W64 7585 W 41 272266 E 02/17-18 82 35 26 46 W 15 1 6837 W 38 228840 E 02/17-19 82 35 23 48 W 13 1 6089 W 35 185413 E 02/17-20 82 35 21 50 W 12 17 2 1 W63 5341 W 31 141987 V 02/17-21 82 35 20 52 W 10 1 5315 W 32 149958 V 02/17-22 82 35 18 55 W 9 1 5289 W 35 157929 E 02/17-23 43 35 17 55 W 9 14 2 1 W73 5264 W 37 165900 E 02/18-00 43 35 16 55 W 9 1 5244 W 39 177462 E 02/18-01 43 35 15 55 W 9 1 5224 W 41 189024 E 02/18-02 43 35 14 56 W 10 16 2 1 W71 5205 W 45 200585 E 02/18-03 43 35 13 56 W 12 1 5175 W 43 191346 E 02/18-04 43 35 12 59 W 13 1 5145 W 40 182107 E 02/18-05 47 11 13 57 W 13 20 2 1 W86 5115 W 39 172868 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHAMP REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110215.BETTY.01/BOU