FNUS71 KCTP 152043
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR TEST S290 TEST...NWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
343 PM EST TUE FEB 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EST ON FEBRUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN FROM THE MIDWEST. RH/S
DIPPING TO THE 30S WILL DRY OUT THE FUELS MORE TODAY...BUT THE
WET GROUND AND LIGHTER WINDS KEEP US WELL AWAY FROM REACHING
RED FLAG CRITERIA.

THE HIGH WILL BE OVERHEAD TONIGHT...THEN THE WINDS TURN TO THE SW
AND BRING A SIGNIFICANT WARM UP TO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL
RISE INTO THE 40S AND 50S FOR WED AND THURS...AND 50S TO LOWER 60S
ON FRI. DEWPOINTS SHOULD ALSO RISE ACCORDINGLY...BUT IF DEWPOINTS
REMAIN LOWER THAN EXPECTED DURING THAT TIME FRAME...IT WILL CREATE
VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          4 PM
SKY (%).............8
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE
TEMP................33
RH..................34
20 FT WIND..........S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 7
LAL.................1
HAINES INDEX........4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 13 TO 16 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............15     19     33     50     47     42
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................30     27     26     24     23     22
RH..................40     46     51     55     61     69
20 FT WIND..........S 2    S 2    S 2    S 3    S 3    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      5      5
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 5   W 3    SE 3   SE 5   S 9    S 15
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
TRANSPORT WIND......S 16   S 15   S 15   S 14   S 13   S 12
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........4      4      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/GARTNER/RXR
REQUESTED BY...B GARTNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110215.TESTS.01/CTP