FNUS75 KGJT 150220
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELECTRA LAKE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
720 PM MST MON FEB 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON FEBRUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL BE SHIFTING EAST TODAY AS A
BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN. THIS WILL
BRING A RETURN OF SOUTHWEST FLOW THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A SERIES OF MOIST STORM WILL MOVE
THROUGH BEGINNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT BRINGING SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS
AND A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW TO THE VALLEYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-4 MPH UNTIL 1030...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-7 MPH BY 1300. A FEW
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH BETWEEN 1400 AND 1800.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 15000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1030...THEN
                    BECOMING FAIR (55000 KNOT-FT) BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 4000 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH BY 2100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (LESS THAN 10000 KNOT-FT) BY 2100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-4 MPH UNTIL 1030...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH. A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND
                    20 MPH BETWEEN 1400 AND 1800.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 15000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1030...THEN
                    BECOMING VERY GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 7500 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...HON SCHLAPFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110215.ELECT.01/GJT