FNUS72 KJAX 151350
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOUR CREELS...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
850 AM EST TUE FEB 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COOL FRONT NEAR JACKSONVILLE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE METRO
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 2 HOURS...SHIFTING NORTHERLY WINDS TO NORTHEAST.
THE AIRMASS WILL BE MODIFIED COMING OFF THE ATLANTIC WITH INCREASED
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FROM PREVIOUS DAYS.

WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OFFSHORE BRINGING MORE
MOISTURE TO THE AREA AND NO RED FLAGS ARE EXPECTED. A FEW SPRINKLES
WILL BE POSSIBLE. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED
NEAR THE COAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 14 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....57.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........17     20     35     35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     63     67     67
RH..............59     47     42     43
20 FT WIND......NE 13  NE 15  NE 15  E 14
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   2000   3800   3300
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 21  NE 21  E 21   E 21
DISPERSION INDX.51     40     56     70

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 13 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........35     38     38     38     54     54
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............62     56     53     51     49     48
RH..............53     69     79     83     88     94
20 FT WIND......NE 10  NE 8   NE 7   NE 7   NE 7   NE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   1000   700    700    400    700
TRANSPORT WIND..E 21   E 18   E 13   E 13   E 8    E 12
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      6      6
DISPERSION INDX.70     12     6      6      5      8

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-4200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 12 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....55.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER HART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110215.FOURC.01/JAX