FNUS72 KJAX 151308
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GUANA RIVER WMA...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
808 AM EST TUE FEB 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A BACK DOOR FRONT PRESENTLY JUST NORTH OF JACKSONVILLE
WILL MOVE THROUGH GUANA RIVER WMA WITHIN THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
THE AIR MASS WILL BE MODIFIED SINCE IT WILL COME ON NORTHEAST WINDS
OFF THE ATLANTIC. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BEGIN BY 10 AM THIS MORNING.

WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OFFSHORE BRINGING MORE
MOISTURE TO THE AREA AND NO RED FLAGS ARE EXPECTED. A FEW SPRINKLES
WILL BE POSSIBLE. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED
NEAR THE COAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO
                    18 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 17 TO 24 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....59.

TIME (EST)       10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..........20     22     36     38
WEATHER COV......
WEATHER TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.............56     62     64     64
RH...............68     56     52     53
20 FT WIND.......NE 17  NE 18  NE 18  NE 16
20 FT WIND GUST..20     25     25     25
MIX HGT (FT).....1300   1900   3300   2500
TRANSPORT WIND...NE 24  NE 24  E 24   E 24
DISPERSION INDX..45     45     60     52

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 16 TO 24 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........38     41     41     41     54     54
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............62     59     58     57     56     55
RH..............60     68     72     75     77     79
20 FT WIND......NE 15  NE 14  NE 13  NE 13  E 12   E 12
20 FT WIND GUST.25     20     20     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   1300   1000   1000   700    700
TRANSPORT WIND..E 24   NE 23  E 20   E 20   E 16   E 17
LVORI...........4      4      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION INDX.52     26     18     18     14     15

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 17 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....67.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN ELLENBERGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110215.GUANA.01/JAX