FNUS73 KJKL 150019
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG SWAG...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
719 PM EST MON FEB 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
INTO THE REGION WILL LEAD TO A SLACKENING PRESSURE GRADIENT TONIGHT
AND ON TUESDAY AND THUS CONSIDERABLY LIGHTER WINDS. HOWEVER...THE
AIRMASS THAT THE HIGH WILL BRING INTO THE REGION WILL BE RATHER DRY
AND HUMIDITIES SHOULD BOTTOM OUT NEAR 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.
A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION RELATED TO THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LEAD
TO MIXING HEIGHTS ON THE LOWER SIDE TODAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH EARLY BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH EARLY BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH EARLY BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     42     38     35     32     30
RH..............51     63     70     78     81     82
20 FT WIND......W 7    NW 6   N 6    N 5    N 4    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4      4      4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 58.
HUMIDITY............60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH AROUND
                    1400...BECOMING LIGHT LATE.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...EAST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH AROUND
                    1400...BECOMING LIGHT LATE.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH AROUND
                    1400...BECOMING LIGHT LATE.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......950 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE MAX
                    2700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE...
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 AT IGNITION...28 MAX.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........0      7      12     21     18     16
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............29     36     45     52     56     56
RH..............85     69     50     34     28     28
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 8    E 8    E 8    SE 7   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...PELTON
REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110215.BIGSW.01/JKL