FNUS76 KLOX 160316
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR YELLOW BAR...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
716 PM PST TUE FEB 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON FEBRUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW SITUATED OFF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL SWING SEVERAL IMPULSES ACROSS
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EXPECT RAIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS
MUCH OF THE REGION BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGHOUT MUCH
OF THE DAY. THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE PRECIPITATION BEFORE
ANOTHER BAND OF RAIN MOVES IN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A MORE POWERFUL
STORM IS ON TAP FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY...AND
POSSIBLY INTO SUNDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE
WEEKEND TO AT LEAST 3000 FEET.

.WEDNESDAY...(IGNITION TIME 900 AM PST)

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.
TEMPERATURE.........44-47.
HUMIDITY............80-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AT OR BELOW 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...(REST OF WEDNESDAY)

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 35 MPH BY 1100 HOURS...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE WEST 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER 1600 HOURS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
                    WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST 12 TO 20
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 28 MPH AFTER 1600 HOURS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS IN THE MORNING...
                    INCREASING  TO 4000 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-39 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    500 FT OR LESS AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING....THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-48 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT OR LESS IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 16 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KAPLAN
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS MAKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110215.YELLO.01/LOX