FNUS74 KMAF 151521 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR COTTONWOOD DRAW...BLM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 921 AM CST TUE FEB 15 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MST ON FEBRUARY 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON... .DISCUSSION... WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY. 20 FOOT WINDS WILL BE LARGELY TERRAIN DOMINATED THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SOUTHEAST DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY AIR WILL DROP MINIMUM RH/S TO NEAR 5% TODAY. WESTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN OVER THE BURN SITE TONIGHT WITH ONLY FAIR RH RECOVERY EXPECTED. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AS WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY AIR DROP MINIMUM RH/S TO NEAR 5% AGAIN. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA. ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE IN STORE FOR THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 85. RH..................19 PCT AT IGNITION...MIN 7 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR AT IGNITION INCREASING GOOD /55000 KNOT-FT/ IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (MST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............58 74 84 84 RH..............19 10 7 6 20 FT WIND DIR..W NW E SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 8 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 12 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 2500 3500 4000 TRANS WIND DIR..W NW W W TRANS WIND SPD..7 12 15 15 VENT CAT........POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36. RH..................MAX 43 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (55000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR. TIME (MST) 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 62 55 48 43 39 RH..............7 16 21 26 32 36 20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..9 7 6 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST. MIX HGT (FT)....5000 5000 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 TRANS WIND DIR..W W W W W W TRANS WIND SPD..15 15 10 9 9 8 VENT CAT........GOOD GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88. RH..................MIN 5 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 23 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (190000 KNOT-FT). TIME (MST) 5 AM 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............37 36 57 71 84 88 RH..............39 41 19 12 8 5 20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 8 11 21 23 20 FT WIND GUST.10 25 30 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 6500 6500 8000 TRANS WIND DIR..W W SW W W W TRANS WIND SPD..6 6 4 20 20 23 VENT CAT........POOR POOR POOR VYGOOD VYGOOD EXCLNT HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...PLATT REQUESTED BY...MATIAS TELLES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110215.COTTO.01/MAF