FNUS72 KMFL 151721
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-SC1...SEMINOLE TRIBE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1221 PM EST TUE FEB 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1215 EST ON FEBRUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC
THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS HAS ALLOWED THE LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW TO
RETURN TO THE NORTHEAST AT SPEEDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ESPECIALLY BY WEDNESDAY BUT WITH SLIGHTLY
WARMER TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON, RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
LIKELY FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR AROUND FOUR HOURS THIS AFTERNOON
AT THE FIRE SITE. THE LOWER TRANSPORT WIND WILL ALSO YIELD A POOR
TO FAIR DISPERSION THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 38.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM
SKY (%).........20     20     20     20     20     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............73     76     75     72     62     58
RH..............39     33     40     56     70     84
20 FT WIND......NE 6   NE 6   NE 5   NE 5   NE 5   NE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     5
EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 6   NE 6   NE 5   NE 5   NE 5   NE 4
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     10     10     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   3000   3000   3000   2200   1300
MIXNG WIND......NE 13  NE 13  NE 9   NE 9   NE 8   NE 7
DISPERSION IDX..40     40     36     36     4      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............10.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 51.
LVORI...............6.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...MARIA TALAMANTEZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED