FNUS76 KMFR 151748
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORTON 6...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
948 AM PST TUE FEB 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON FEBRUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SNOW LEVELS WILL BE AT OR JUST ABOVE THE BURN SITE
THIS MORNING...RESULTING IN MOSTLY RAIN. LITTLE TO NO SNOW
ACCUMULATION WILL OCCUR IN ANY SNOW EARLY TODAY...BUT COLDER
AIR WILL BEGIN TO ARRIVE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.
THIS WILL LOWER SNOW LEVELS AND CHANGE RAIN OVER TO ALL SNOW LATE
TODAY OR THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE SEVERAL INCHES
TONIGHT IN NOTICEABLY COLDER AIR. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE EASING LATE IN THE DAY. THE STORM SYSTEM
RESPONSIBLE FOR THE WIND AND PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE OFF TO THE
SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY BUT LEAVE SNOW SHOWERS IN ITS WAKE...PRODUCING
AN ADDITIONAL SMALL AMOUNT OF ACCUMULATION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN AND SNOW. SNOW LEVEL NEAR 4500 FEET...THEN
                    SLOWLY FALLING IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW MAY
                    ACCUMULATE 1 TO 2 INCHES LATE IN THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42 EARLY THEN STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35
                    MPH...DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 2500-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........OCCASIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATING AROUND 3 INCHES.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING 3 TO 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    WEST 5 TO 10 MPH .
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW SHOWERS WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST TO WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5500-6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST TO WEST 20 TO 25 MPH
CWR.................62 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES/WOODHEAD
REQUESTED BY...COLEY NEIDER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110215.HORTO.01/MFR