FNUS72 KMLB 151304
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR 1 3...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
804 AM EST TUE FEB 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE BURN AREA FROM
THE NORTHEAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PUSHING TO
THE EAST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A NORTHEASTERLY
SHIFT IN WINDS LATER THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON...INCREASING
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND WIND SPEEDS AS A RESULT OF ONSHORE FLOW. WINDS
WILL VEER MORE EASTERLY TONIGHT ALLOWING FOR ONSHORE FLOW TO KEEP THE
BURN SITE WELL MIXED. THEREFORE...DO NOT SEE POTENTIAL FOR FOG FORMATION
TONIGHT AS MARINE INFLUENCE WILL DOMINATE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH LATE THIS MORNING
                    OR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-4000 FT AGL
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH BECOMING NORTHEAST AT 13 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  MOCLR  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     66     68     69     66     62
RH..............69     58     55     56     63     75
20 FT WIND......N 7    N 9    NE 13  NE 15  NE 14  NE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.              20     20     15     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-900 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 11 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13.
LVORI...............4.

$$
FORECASTER...GUSEMAN
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL GOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110215.13___.01/MLB