FNUS75 KGJT 161215
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR STORMVEX - AM...NWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
515 AM MST WED FEB 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0430 MST ON FEBRUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT
MST TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS COMING THIS EVENING.
CLOUDS WILL LOWER TONIGHT AS SNOW DEVELOPS AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WHICH IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER THE RESEARCH PLOT AROUND 3 AM MST
TONIGHT. EXPECT SNOW TO CONTINUE PERIODICALLY THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY THURSDAY WITH BREEZY WEST WINDS RESULTING IN BLOWING SNOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). BREEZY.
CLOUD BASES.........SCATTERED AT 8000-10000 FT AGL...OTHERWISE
    MAINLY HIGHER CLOUDS.
CLOUD TOPS..........20000-25000 FT MSL AND HIGHER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
    AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 32 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
            IN THE EVENING...THEN PERIODS OF SNOW AFTER
    MIDNIGHT. WINDY.
CLOUD BASES.........LOWERING TO THE LEVEL OF THE STUDY PLOT BY...
    OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CLOUD TOPS..........FROM 18000-25000 MSL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....14-19 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 25-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 65 MPH...DECREASING TO 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 35 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 40 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN SOUTHWEST
    15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). PERIODS OF SNOW.
CLOUD BASES.........AT...OR BELOW THE STUDY PLOT.
CLOUD TOPS..........FROM 18000-25000 MSL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....24-29 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 15-25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 MPH INCREASING TO 31 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...DUTY FORECASTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110216.STORM.01/GJT