FNUS73 KJKL 162015
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELKHORN...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
315 PM EST WED FEB 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1429 EST ON FEBRUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS PRODUCING SOME SPRINKLES THIS
AFTERNOON THAT WILL REMAIN JUST TO THE SOUTH. OTHERWISE...MAIN FEATURE
OF CONCERN WILL BE WINDS AS THEY GRADUAL INCREASE THROUGH THURSDAY AND
BECOME QUITE GUSTY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN AT OR
ABOVE 30 PERCENT...WITH A SMALL RECOVERY TONIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING
                    LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........41     39     37     34     31     30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............56     54     53     52     51     50
RH..............41     44     46     48     49     51
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 3    S 5    S 6    S 6    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       5             10     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      2      2      2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS 25 TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS 25 TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....126.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........29     28     28     27     29     33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............50     53     58     63     65     65
RH..............52     49     41     35     33     35
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 9    S 12   S 14   S 13   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     21     27     27     20
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...RAY
REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110216.ELKHO.01/JKL