FNUS73 KJKL 171202 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR ELKHORN...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 702 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1429 EST ON FEBRUARY 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WARM TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S...ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS...ARE EXPECTED TODAY. MIN RHS NEAR 30...COMBINED WITH THE GUSTY WINDS...WILL CREATE SOME POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS TODAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAR EASTERN PORTION OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. CLOUDS AND HIGHER RHS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT OUT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONT. THIS WILL KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES FAIRLY WARM WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS BETWEEN 45 AND 50 DEGREES. RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. POP.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....126. TIME (EST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........40 40 39 42 44 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............50 53 59 64 66 66 RH..............55 55 47 40 32 32 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 9 S 12 S 15 S 14 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 25 25 25 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER TOWARDS DAWN. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. PEAK GUST 30 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. POP.................20 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........35 37 39 46 53 58 WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............61 58 56 55 53 52 RH..............44 50 55 59 63 66 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 9 S 9 SW 9 SW 8 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER EARLY...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL EVENING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. POP.................50 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 29 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....86. TIME (EST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........63 70 77 78 80 76 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............54 55 57 60 61 59 RH..............62 64 63 60 61 65 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 10 SW 13 SW 12 W 10 W 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 20 25 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...JACOBSON REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110216.ELKHO.01/JKL