FNUS75 KVEF 161629
FWSVEF

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE TREE RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
829 AM PST WED FEB 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON FEBRUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCSSION...EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSION CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AS
WEST WINDS INCREASE AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH HIGH LEVELS WITH GUSTS
OVER 60 MPH IN THE SPRING MOUNTAINS AS A VIGOROUS DISTURBANCE
EJECTS OUT OF A LARGE PACIFIC STORM ALONG THE WEST COAST. LIGHT TO
MODERATE PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY TODAY AND THIS EVENING BEFORE
MOISTURE DECREASES TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES EAST
AND LEAVES A LIGHTER SOUTHWEST FLOW WITH MORE LIMITED MOISTURE FOR
THURSDAY. THE MAIN STORM SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE INLAND AND ACROSS
THE REGION LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY LEADING TO WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION AND COOL TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. INTERMITTENT MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND
                    SNOW THIS MORNING THEN MODERATE SNOW LIKELY IN THE
                    LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-40.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
  20 FT-10 MIN AVG..VERY WINDY. WEST TO NORTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
  10K FT WIND.......SOUTHWEST 46 TO 56 MPH.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....70 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 32 TO 42 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
  20 FT-10 MIN AVG..WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 21 TO 31 MPH. GUSTS UP
                    TO 60 MPH DECREASING TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
  10K FT WIND.......SOUTHWEST 56 TO 66 MPH DECREASING TO 26 TO 36
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 29 KNOTS DECREASING TO AROUND
                    12 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION.........VERY GOOD.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-33.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
  20 FT-10 MIN AVG..EAST TO SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING SOUTH
                    AROUND 4 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
  10K FT WIND.......SOUTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....15 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 KNOTS INCREASING TO AROUND
                    26 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION.........EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ADAIR
REQUESTED BY...MOORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110216.BLUET.01/VEF