FNUS71 KAKQ 171424
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMPARTMENT P   PRIV 41...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
924 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON FEBRUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...WARM AND DRY TODAY AND FRIDAY...AND EVEN DRIER SATURDAY...

A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST TODAY...ALONG WITH SOMEWHAT
BREEZY CONDITIONS BY AFTERNOON. EVEN WARMER TEMPERATURES...STRONGER
SOUTHWEST WINDS...AND CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS MAY RESULT IN AN
ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER DANGER SITUATION ON FRIDAY.

EXTREMELY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY ON SATURDAY...WITH
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING TO BELOW 20 PERCENT OVER
MOST OF THE REGION. WINDS WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY OVER NORTHERN
AND EASTERN SECTIONS...WITH A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY LIKELY.
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS
STRONG BUT A CRITICAL FIRE DAY IS STILL POSSIBLE DUE TO THE EXTREMELY
LOW RH VALUES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (1800-18100 FT-MPH).

TIME (EST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
SKY (%).........26  26  28  31  33  35  38  40  42  44  46  47
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............57  58  59  59  59  58  56  54  53  52  52  51
RH..............40  36  36  37  39  44  55  64  66  69  71  74
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   8   8   7   7   6   6   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  13  14  13  13  12  10  10  10  10  12  13

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (2300-5800 FT-MPH).

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH...BECOMING WEST 17 TO 22
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO POOR (2500-38700 FT-MPH).



FORECASTER...RUSNAK
REQUESTED BY...KEITH MORRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110217.COMPA.01/AKQ