FNUS75 KGJT 162337
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FALLS CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
437 PM MST WED FEB 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MST ON FEBRUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT IN UTAH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WILL PUSH
THROUGH NORTHWEST COLORADO TONIGHT AND SAG TO NEAR THE BURN SITE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WINDS WILL MIX DOWN
TO THE SURFACE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. BUT MIXING WILL COLLAPSE
QUICKLY AROUND SUNSET AS SURFACE-BASED INVERSIONS SET UP.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49%.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO EXCELLENT  AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT 1030 INCREASING TO 6400 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 34 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....12-17 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77%.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR MAX OF 37200 KNOT-FT)
                    WITH SUNSET.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT SUNSET THEN LOWERING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...HON SCHLAPFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110217.FALLS.01/GJT