FNUS73 KJKL 171118 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG SWAG...USDA - DANIEL BOONE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 618 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WARM TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S...ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS...ARE EXPECTED TODAY. MIN RHS NEAR 35...COMBINED WITH THE GUSTY WINDS...WILL CREATE SOME POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS TODAY. CLOUDS AND HIGHER RHS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT OUT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONT. THIS WILL KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES FAIRLY WARM WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS BETWEEN 45 AND 50 DEGREES. RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...THEN INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH 25 MPH. PEAK GUST TO 30 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. POP.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 24 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....122. TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........43 45 47 42 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 65 68 67 RH..............54 45 36 36 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 14 S 14 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER TOWARDS DAWN. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH TOWARDS DAWN. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH TOWARDS DAWN. POP.................20 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........37 39 41 48 55 62 WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............63 59 57 55 54 52 RH..............49 55 59 64 68 71 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 9 S 8 SW 8 SW 7 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. POP.................50 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....84. TIME (EST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........68 73 78 79 80 77 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............54 56 59 63 63 61 RH..............68 71 69 66 66 69 20 FT WIND......S 5 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 W 9 W 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 20 20 15 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...JACOBSON REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110217.BIGSW.01/JKL