FNUS72 KMLB 171916
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRACY NORTH...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
216 PM EST THU FEB 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY THIS EVENING AND
EVENTUALLY MOSTLY CLEAR OVERNIGHT. SURFACE/20 FOOT WINDS HAVE BEEN
LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
MORE EASTERLY AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES WHILE REMAINING FAIRLY LIGHT.
ONCE THE SUN SETS THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE
AGAIN THIS EVENING AND NEAR CALM OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH
GRADUALLY SETTLES SOUTHWARD TO NEAR THE PRESCRIBED BURN LOCATION. CONDITIONS
ARE SETTING UP FOR AREAS OF FOG TO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
...BECOMING LOCALLY DENSE AT TIMES INTO AT LEAST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE
SMOLDERING PRESCRIBED BURN MAY ENHANCE LOWER VISIBILITIES IN THE IMMEDIATE
VICINITY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    LOCALLY DENSE AT TIMES.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 11 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............10.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....                        ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS
WEATHER TYPE....                        FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
TEMP............70  67  65  63  61  60  59  58  58  57  56  56
RH..............61  68  73  81  87  90  90  93  93  93  96  96
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   6   5   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10      5

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...LOCALLY DENSE...POTENTIALLY ENHANCED
                    BY NEARBY SMOLDERING FIRES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY MORNING WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....27.

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...TAMMY MILTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110217.TRACY.01/MLB