FNUS71 KRNK 172340
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR CC  FIRE...USDA-FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
640 PM EST THU FEB 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1832 EST ON FEBRUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT WITH GOOD HUMIDITY
RECOVERY. HOWEVER...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH OUR REGION ON FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN ANOTHER ROUND OF CRITICAL
FIRE CONDITIONS LASTING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. DRIER AIR MOVING
IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL ALLOW HUMIDITY VALUES TO REMAIN
RELATIVELY LOW FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ALLOW THE
DRIER AIR TO MIX TO THE SURFACE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...WITH SATURDAY AFTERNOON RH VALUES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE
TEENS.

&&

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST 8 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............23     23     23     19     24     41
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................64     60     56     53     51     49
RH..................37     43     50     58     66     73
20 FT WIND..........S 4    S 2    SW 2   W 2    W 2    W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      5             5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND......S 3    S 2    SW 2   W 1    W 1    W 2
EYE LVL WND GST.....10     5      5             5      5
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0      0

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH...INCREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO 33 TO 38 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............62     74     79     79     77     72
WEATHER COV.........              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................46     47     56     61     65     67
RH..................85     84     63     57     52     46
20 FT WIND..........W 5    W 8    W 10   W 11   W 11   W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     20     25     30     30     25
EYE LEVEL WIND......W 4    W 6    W 8    W 8    W 8    W 7
EYE LVL WND GST.....15     20     25     30     30     25
CWR.................0      10     20     20     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...PERRY
REQUESTED BY...DAVE BOSTIC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110217.CCFIR.01/RNK