FNUS71 KAKQ 181511
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD HOUSE LANDING...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1011 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON FEBRUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

...UNSEASONABLY WARM TODAY...
...BECOMING VERY DRY AND WINDY SATURDAY...

A WARM AND DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PREVAIL TODAY AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION
TONIGHT...WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.

EXTREMELY DRY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ON SATURDAY...WITH MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING BELOW 15 PERCENT OVER MUCH OF THE
REGION. WINDS WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN
AND EASTERN SECTIONS...WITH A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY ANTICIPATED.
HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE AREA ON SUNDAY AND MOVES OFF THE
COAST ON MONDAY. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL BRING THE NEXT CHANCE
FOR PRECIPITATION LATE MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1600-3000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO POOR (2600-42300 FT-MPH).

TIME (EST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
SKY (%).........47  48  50  51  53  51  49  47  43  38  34  29
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............65  67  67  68  67  65  61  59  53  52  51  51
RH..............56  52  49  45  47  50  56  60  69  66  63  56
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..11  12  11  10  9   9   8   7   7   7   8   9
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  25  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 3.0 2.8 2.5 2.3 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.16  16  17  18  18  15  12  8   7   8   10  12

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 18 TO 26 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (1600-8900 FT-MPH).

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 23 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35
                    MPH...INCREASING TO 45 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500-6900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 33 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AND...INCREASING TO 49 TO 52 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO FAIR (5800-50500
                    FT-MPH)...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (282400-310200 FT-MPH).

FORECASTER...RUSNAK
REQUESTED BY...KEITH MORRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110218.OLDHO.01/AKQ