FNUS71 KAKQ 182233
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD HOUSE LANDING...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
533 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON FEBRUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM EST SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

...BECOMING VERY DRY AND WINDY SATURDAY (CRITICAL FIRE WX DAY)...

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH NO
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.

EXTREMELY DRY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ON SATURDAY...WITH MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING BELOW 15 PERCENT OVER MUCH OF THE
REGION. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE STRONG WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH.
WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE STRONGEST OVER NORTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
INTO THE EASTERN SHORE. HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE AREA ON
SUNDAY AND MOVES OFF THE COAST ON MONDAY. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT
WILL BRING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION LATE MONDAY INTO
EARLY TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....
VENTILATION RATE....MISSING.

TIME (EST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
SKY (%).........56  42  42  42  42  42  41  40  39  38  37  34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............61  65  66  67  67  65  62  61  59  57  55  54
RH..............M   M   M   M   M   M   54  53  55  55  57  57
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..11  11  10  9   9   8   7   6   7   8   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...M   M   M   M   M   M   0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.M   M   M   M   M   M   W   W   W   W   NW  W
TRANSP WIND SPD.M   M   M   M   M   M   10  8   9   12  15  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 26 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (1700-5700 FT-MPH).

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 23 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35
                    MPH...INCREASING TO 50 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5700-6000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 35 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AND...INCREASING TO 43 TO 52 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (5800-6200 FT-MPH)...INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (224500-267600 FT-MPH).



FORECASTER...WAMSLEY
REQUESTED BY...KEITH MORRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110218.OLDHO.01/AKQ