FNUS72 KMHX 181201 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR FLANNERS BEACH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 701 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE TODAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SATURDAY AND SLIDE OFFSHORE LATE SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST MONDAY AND DROP THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. NEAR RED FLAG CRITERIA ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 INCREASING TO 12 TO 15 MPH BY LATE MORNING WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 27 MPH. TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............48 35 32 39 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................64 69 72 71 RH..................65 57 53 55 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 12 SW 13 SW 13 SW 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 17 18 15 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE EVENING THEN NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH BECOMING NW. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............46 49 53 58 54 32 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................66 60 56 54 52 51 RH..................65 78 83 83 83 77 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 9 W 8 W 7 W 7 W 8 NW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........5 4 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2200-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH...INCREASING TO 24 TO 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............9 5 11 17 20 28 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................50 51 61 66 70 68 RH..................71 59 35 25 19 18 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NW 8 NW 12 NW 15 NW 14 NW 15 NW 17 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 20 20 20 25 $$ FORECASTER...FREDERICK REQUESTED BY...CROATAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110218.FLANN.01/MHX