FNUS74 KOUN 181510
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHIC NPS ERC BURN...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
910 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT/WIND SHIFT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM NEAR RINGLING TO
SOUTH OF PAULS VALLEY AND HOLDENVILLE.  THE FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO STALL ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING
BEFORE LIFTING BACK TO THE NORTH THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LOW CLOUDS MAY STRUGGLE TO ERODE TODAY BUT SOME CLEARING SHOULD
OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  CALM OR LIGHT WINDS AT 9 AM
SHOULD GRADUALLY BECOME LIGHT NORTHEAST THEN EAST AND SOUTHEAST
LATER TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............62     67     70     70     68     63
RH..............84     70     59     61     65     81
20 FT WIND......NE 5   NE 6   NE 6   E 7    E 6    SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   2100   2400   2300   1700   1100
MIX HGT (M).....490    640    730    700    520    340
TRANSPORT WIND..E 3    E 2    E 3    NE 6   NE 7   NE 8
TRAN WIND (M/S).E 1    E 1    E 1    NE 3   NE 3   NE 4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 20
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...THOREN
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110218.CHICN.01/OUN