FNUS73 KPAH 181300 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR OAKWOOD BOTTOMS UNITS 12 13...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 700 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY TODAY...WHICH WILL PROVIDE CONTINUED CLOUDINESS FOR A WHILE...BUT CLOUDS SHOULD BE DECREASING SOMEWHAT AS WE HEAD INTO THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS SHOULD BE MAINLY NORTH AT 10 MPH OR LESS TODAY...BECOMING MORE NORTHEASTERLY BY LATE IN THE DAY. MIXING HEIGHTS MAY BE BELOW 1700 FT AT IGNITION...BUT SHOULD QUICKLY RISE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP OFF INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THE AREA LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE RETURN DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS MOISTURE FILTERS BACK INTO OUR AREA. IN ADDITION...A FEW RAIN SHOWERS CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATER TONIGHT AND INTO EARLY SATURDAY. AFTER ANOTHER WARM DAY TODAY...SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL WORK INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT ON SATURDAY. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA BY SUNDAY...AND BOOST TEMPERATURES AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMDITIES INTO THE 60S...AS ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE PLAINS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 63. RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3000-3300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2400 FT AGL BY SUNSET. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............60 62 62 63 62 60 59 RH..............51 44 41 38 39 42 46 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.6 2.9 3.3 3.3 3.0 2.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 16 15 15 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40. RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............57 52 49 47 43 41 RH..............51 59 64 69 75 78 20 FT WIND......NE 4 NE 3 NE 3 NE 3 NE 3 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 14 NE 14 NE 15 E 16 E 18 E 20 CWR.............0 0 0 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 51. RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN NONE NONE TEMP............41 44 49 51 RH..............77 65 57 51 20 FT WIND......NE 5 E 6G10 E 6G10 E 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 1000 1600 TRANSPORT WIND..E 21 E 20 E 18 E 18 CWR.............10 10 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CRIST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110218.OAKWO.01/PAH