FNUS73 KPAH 181836 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR OAKWOOD BOTTOMS UNITS 12 13...USFS SHAWNEE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1236 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1250 CST ON FEBRUARY 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT PASSED ACROSS THE BURN AREA THIS MORNING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS DROPPED RAPIDLY AS NORTH WINDS INCREASED BEHIND THE FRONT. THE MUCH DRIER AIR WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE RETURN DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS MOISTURE FILTERS BACK INTO OUR AREA. IN ADDITION...A FEW RAIN SHOWERS CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATER TONIGHT AND INTO EARLY SATURDAY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 65. RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............63 64 65 65 62 59 RH..............49 39 32 26 23 34 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.9 3.3 3.2 2.4 1.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 15 15 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40. RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............57 52 49 47 43 41 RH..............37 48 58 68 75 78 20 FT WIND......NE 4 NE 3 NE 3 NE 3 NE 3 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 100 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 14 NE 14 NE 15 E 16 E 18 E 20 CWR.............0 0 0 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 51. RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN NONE NONE TEMP............41 44 49 51 RH..............77 65 57 51 20 FT WIND......NE 5 E 6G10 E 6G10 E 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 1400 1600 TRANSPORT WIND..E 21 E 20 E 18 E 18 CWR.............10 10 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...JON TEUTRINE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110218.OAKWO.02/PAH