FNUS75 KABQ 192023
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR NENAHNEZAD 1 FIRE...NAVAJO REGION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
123 PM MST SAT FEB 19 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL PEAK IN THE
AFTERNOON.  PRECIPITATION WILL START AS RAIN AND SWITCH TO SNOW
OVERNIGHT.  SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED...
THOUGH AN INCH OR POSSIBLY TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION DECREASE ON SUNDAY BUT MORNING SNOW AND AFTERNOON
RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE.  WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST
BUT WILL DECREASE IN MAGNITUDE.

FOR THIS AFTERNOON
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                       LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......70 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64-68.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 25-30 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO .
                       35 OR 40 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                       EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 42 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/357000 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/103694 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/357000 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                       EVENING...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......70 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27-31.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 80-85 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO
                       7 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                       THE EVENING.

FOR SUNDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                       MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 39-43.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 42-47 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 16 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/136000 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/72830 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING VERY GOOD/112474 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...05

$$

REQUESTED BY...BRIAN BILLIE
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110219.NENAH.01/ABQ