FNUS74 KBMX 191454 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR SHOE BARN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 854 AM CST SAT FEB 19 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CST ON FEBRUARY 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ACROSS WINSTON COUNTY...PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE MORNING...WITH SKIES BECOMING MORE OVERCAST DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH A WEAK SURFACE FRONT CURRENTLY ACROSS NORTHERN ALABAMA. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT WITH AN EASTERLY COMPONENT THROUGHOUT THE DAY...WHICH ARE GOING TO CAUSE DISPERSION INDICES TO REMAIN LOW. CEILINGS WILL BE AROUND 5K FEET WITH MIXING HIGHTS JUST ABOVE 5K FEET. LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE COMING DAYS KEEPING SURFACE MOISTURE OR RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 50 PERCENT. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH LATE MONDAY WHEN A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. OTHERWISE...IT WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH LIGHT WINDS...WITH VERY FEW WEATHER CONCERNS. .TODAY... TIME (CST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............59 64 67 69 67 RH..............82 75 65 61 64 20 FT WIND......E 2 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 3700 5300 5500 5300 TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 SE 5 S 3 SW 5 SE 6 DISPERSION......10 13 11 20 24 .TONIGHT... TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE FOG FOG FOG TEMP............64 61 57 54 53 53 RH..............68 74 83 90 90 87 20 FT WIND......SE 1 SE 1 SE 1 S 2 S 2 S 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....4200 1900 600 500 400 200 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 9 E 12 E 12 E 8 SE 6 DISPERSION......3 4 5 5 4 3 .SUNDAY... TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............53 58 66 71 73 73 RH..............90 78 65 59 55 53 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 6 S 9 S 13 S 13 S 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 500 2600 5600 6400 5800 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 7 SE 9 S 16 S 25 S 29 S 29 DISPERSION......3 7 47 81 98 94 $$ FORECASTER...GOGGINS REQUESTED BY...CLARK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110219.SHOEB.01/BMX