FNUS73 KLSX 191948
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY FORK...MARK TWAIN NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
148 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1309 CST ON FEBRUARY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF FAR NORTHERN
REYNOLDS AND IRON COUNTIES LATE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING NORTH OF
THE AREA THIS EVENING.  THESE SHOWERS WILL ONLY PRODUCE LIGHT AMOUNTS
OF PRECIPITATION.   THE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL SLOWLY VEER SOUTHERLY
BY MIDNIGHT.  THE WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OVER 15 MPH.  TEN HOUR DRY FUEL MOISTURE FROM THE
SINKIN RAWS SITE WAS 7 PERCENT AT 1:10 PM CST.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........51 AT REQUEST...MAX 54.
RH..................40 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS EAST SOUTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHEAST WIND 8 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...
                    1600 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (2592 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHEAST AT 2 TO 3 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHEAST WIND 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND AT 3 TO 5 MPH UNTIL LATE MORNING...
                    INCREASING TO 4 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
WIND...20 FT........BREEZY. SOUTH WIND 8 TO 14 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    MORNING INCREASING TO 15 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 46 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (27290 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...BRITT
REQUESTED BY...TIM BRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110219.DRYFO.01/LSX