FNUS72 KFFC 202039
FWSFFC

SPOT FORECAST FOR JONES CREEK FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
339 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1515 EST ON FEBRUARY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EXTREMELY DRY AIR CONTINUES OVER THE FIRE SITE WITH RH VALUES
REMAINING IN THE MID TEENS. SURROUNDING OBSERVATIONS DO INDICATE
SOME MOISTENING OF THE AIRMASS WITH RH VALUES IN THE 20S. EXPECT
SLOW RECOVERY THROUGH EARLY EVENING AND THEN MORE RAPID RECOVERY
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH MAX RH SHOULD
REMAIN SHY OF 70 PERCENT. CURRENT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 7 TO
10 MPH WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT AND SUBSIDE TO
5 MPH OR LESS. PLEASE LET US KNOW OF ANY OTHER DETAILS YOU MAY NEED.

AN IMPORTANT NOTE FOR MONDAY WILL BE THE LIKELIHOOD OF MODERATE
WIND GUSTS DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS OF
15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH WILL BE LIKELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTH 5 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTH 5 MPH.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........54     64     64     64     58     58
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............54     50     49     47     46     46
RH..............18     29     35     47     59     65
20 FT WIND......SE 7  SE 6    SE 5    S 5   S 5    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10                          5
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 7  SE 6    SE 5    S 5   S 5    S 5
EYE LVL WND GST.10     5      5      5      5
CWR.............0      0      0      0      10     10

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 22 TO
                    24 MPH.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........58     69     69     69     91     91
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............46     47     53     57     61     62
RH..............70     70     68     68     63     61
20 FT WIND......SW 2  W 3     W 7   W 12    W 15   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST. 5     5      10     18      20     18
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 1  W 2     W 4   W 10    W 12   W 10
EYE LVL WND GST. 5     5       10     10     15     10
CWR.............10    20       20     20     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...DEESE
REQUESTED BY...KAY AKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110220.JONES.01/FFC