FNUS73 KJKL 210337
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR KILBURN FORK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1037 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2230 EST ON FEBRUARY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT WILL PROGRESS FURTHER NORTHEAST OF THE
LOCATION TONIGHT. WINDS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT ON RIDGES AS THE MILDER
AIR MOVES IN. ONCE MIXING OCCURS ON MONDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME
GUSTIER...WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY EVENING. SHOWERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN THE MILD AIR AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT DURING THE DAY...
BUT THE GREATEST PROBABILITY OF RAIN WILL BE NEAR THE COLD FRONT AS
IT PASSES ON MONDAY EVENING...WHEN THE PROBABILITY PEAKS AT AROUND
80 PERCENT. THERE IS EVEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SOME THUNDERSTORMS ON
MONDAY EVENING.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF
                    15 TO 20 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........79     84     86     88     90
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     58     57     57     56
RH..............44     51     57     62     68
20 FT WIND......S 7    S 7    S 7    S 6    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.16     16     16     14     12
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2


.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY
                    DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
POP.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 23 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....66.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........91     94     96     99     97     96
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............56     58     60     62     63     63
RH..............68     77     72     68     65     66
20 FT WIND......S 5    SW 8   SW 10  SW 13  SW 12  SW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     25     30     30     25
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...HAL
REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110220.KILBU.01/JKL