FNUS73 KPAH 192312 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR HODO 1-2...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 512 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE THE REST OF THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE PLAINS. NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN IS EXPECTED...BUT A FEW SPRINKLES OF RAIN CANNOT BE RULED OUT FROM TIME TO TIME. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AS WINDS TURN BACK AROUND TO THE SOUTH. ONCE THAT HAPPENS...DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES WILL RISE RAPIDLY...AND WILL STABILIZE THE RH READINGS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS WILL RETURN TO THE QUAD STATE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 70. RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2600-4000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WIND 6 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING... INCREASING TO 22 TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING... INCREASING TO 48 TO 54 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............59 62 65 67 68 69 68 67 RH..............70 65 61 58 55 56 57 63 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 13 13 14 13 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 3.7 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.4 3.0 2.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.30 38 45 48 52 53 54 54 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 46 TO 54 MPH BECOMING WEST AND DECREASING TO 30 TO 32 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............64 60 58 56 53 51 RH..............69 80 87 92 99 98 20 FT WIND......S 11 SW 10 SW 9 SW 7 SW 6 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 1800 1500 1400 1200 1200 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 54 SW 52 SW 48 SW 44 SW 38 W 32 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 3 .WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55. RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 61 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 32 MPH. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............51 51 52 52 53 54 53 53 53 53 53 51 RH..............92 88 80 73 66 60 57 53 48 44 42 41 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.29 26 25 24 24 24 24 25 28 29 31 32 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 60 60 60 60 60 60 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...BLANCHARD REQUESTED BY...KEITH P KELLEY FMO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110220.HODO1.01/PAH