FNUS71 KRNK 201902 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR PICKLE BRANCH...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 202 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1341 EST ON FEBRUARY 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THIS AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN VERY DRY WITH DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM AROUND ZERO TO 10 DEGREES...MAKING FOR MINIMUM RH VALUES RANGING FROM 10 TO 20 PERCENT. 20 FOOT LEVEL SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 7 TO 10 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...THE SOUTHERLY FLOW BEGINS TO TAP ATLANTIC MOISTURE...SLOWLY FEEDING IT BACK INTO OUR AREA AND ALLOWING DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES TO RISE. WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AS ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES OUR AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST... BUT STRONGER WINDS WILL NOT MIX TO THE SURFACE UNTIL DURING THE MORNING MONDAY. STRONG WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS DURING ARE EXPECTED THE DAY MONDAY...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH POSSIBLE ON THE RIDGE TOPS. ANY SHOWER ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING FRONT WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL MONDAY EVENING. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT MOST OF THE MOUNTAINS WILL RECEIVE LIGHT RAINFALL. STRONG WEST WINDS WITH THE FRONT WILL LIKELY PREVENT MUCH RAINFALL EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHSIDE VIRGINIA AND THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY. && .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH. TIME (EST) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............77 80 79 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TEMP................50 51 50 RH..................28 20 22 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 20 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 3 S 4 S 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 15 20 CWR.................0 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SPRINKLES THROUGH THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN 25 MPH OVERNIGHT ON THE RIDGES. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 24 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............78 77 78 78 76 74 WEATHER COV......... SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE TEMP................51 48 45 42 42 43 RH..................19 27 39 55 61 72 20 FT WIND..........S 6 S 7 S 8 SW 8 SW 9 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 20 20 20 25 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 2 S 3 S 4 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 10 .WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH...INCREASING TO 40 MPH BY NOON...THEN DECREASING TO 30 MPH LATE. CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING WEST 26 TO 33 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............70 83 79 75 75 80 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................46 48 52 57 61 63 RH..................63 66 62 56 52 49 20 FT WIND..........W 10 W 14 W 15 W 14 W 14 W 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 35 40 40 35 30 EYE LEVEL WIND......W 5 W 7 W 9 W 9 W 8 W 6 CWR.................10 20 20 20 20 30 $$ FORECASTER...JACKSON REQUESTED BY...TODD CAUDILL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110220.PICKL.02/RNK