FNUS74 KBMX 211337 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR FLEET FIRE2 20 11AM...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 737 AM CST MON FEB 21 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0729 CST ON FEBRUARY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SURFACE MOISTURE AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT CENTRAL ALABAMA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO HOLD OFF OVER MUCH OF THE AREA UNTIL AFTER SUNSET...HOWEVER...A FEW SHOWERS MAY IMPACT THE NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES AFTER 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH AT AROUND 10 MPH WITH CLOUDY SKIES. FOG SHOULD BE A MINIMAL ISSUE AFTER SOME MIXING AND LIGHT WINDS INCREASE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE MINIMAL FOR TODAY...BUT SHOULD BEGIN INCREASING AFTER SUNSET. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4600 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 33 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 24 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 55 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 98 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 121 DECREASING TO 95 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 83 DECREASING TO 69 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............56 61 63 67 70 70 RH..............81 75 70 66 59 64 20 FT WIND......S 3 SW 6 SW 9 SW 10 SW 9 SW 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 3000 4100 4600 4500 3700 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15 SW 25 SW 32 SW 33 SW 31 SW 30 DISPERSION......24 93 121 98 91 80 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 TO 28 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 16 TO 18 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....37 DECREASING TO 23 IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 14 AFTER MIDNIGHT INCREASING TO 32 EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............64 62 62 62 59 54 RH..............67 72 73 74 85 98 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 3 SW 3 W 3 W 3 NW 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 1400 1200 1500 1600 1900 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 28 SW 22 SW 21 W 24 W 21 NW 17 DISPERSION......37 24 19 16 14 12 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....39 INCREASING TO 49 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 63 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 72 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 57. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............50 54 60 62 62 61 RH..............100 86 62 51 46 42 20 FT WIND......NW 3 NW 6 NW 7 NW 7 NW 8 NW 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2500 3200 4000 4300 3700 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 15 N 12 NW 12 NW 16 NW 17 NW 16 DISPERSION......43 37 38 60 66 72 $$ FORECASTER...LAWS REQUESTED BY...JOE SMITH TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110221.FLEET.01/BMX