FNUS72 KFFC 211039 FWSFFC SPOT FORECAST FOR JONES CREEK FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 539 AM EST MON FEB 21 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0509 EST ON FEBRUARY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... EXPECT SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS TODAY. THE WINDS SHOULD PREVAIL FROM THE SOUTHWEST TODAY...BUT BECOME MORE WESTERLY BY EARLY EVENING. THE STRONG WINDS AND DRY FUELS OF 8 PERCENT OR LESS HAVE RESULTED IN A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT BEING POSTED FOR NORTH AND MOST OF CENTRAL GEORGIA TODAY. THE WINDS SHOULD INCREASE BY MID MORNING... THEN SUBSIDE BY 7 PM THIS EVENING. EXPECT INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO HOLD RH VALUES WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS TODAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTH GA TONIGHT...SO EXPECT INCREASING RAIN CHANCES BY MIDNIGHT... WITH THE FRONT PUSHING ACROSS NORTH GA BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. SHOWERS WILL BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED IN COVERAGE WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS A QUARTER INCH OR LESS. BEHIND THE FRONT... A MUCH DRIER AIR MASS WILL SPREAD IN OVER THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON... RESULTING IN RH LEVELS DIPPING INTO THE 25 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE FOR MUCH OF NORTH GA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THIS MORNING... BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (60-65 PERCENT) BY AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH BY MID TO LATE MORNING. CWR.................10 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON...INCREASING TONIGHT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3800 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 79. LVORI...............2. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........75 70 68 66 64 64 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 47 55 60 64 65 RH..............58 61 51 52 52 52 20 FT WIND......SSW 1 SW 5 SW 8 SW 13 WSW 15 WSW 13 20 FT WIND GUST. 15 20 25 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..SSW 1 SW 2 SW 4 SW 7 WSW 8 WSW 7 EYE LVL WND GST. 5 15 20 25 20 DISPERSION IDX..3 11 20 55 65 76 LVORI...........3 2 2 1 1 1 CWR.............10 0 0 0 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 15 MPH BEFORE SUNRISE. DISPERSION INDEX....83 DECREASING TO 14. LVORI...............3. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........65 75 75 75 75 75 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............60 53 51 49 47 47 RH..............65 84 89 95 100 98 20 FT WIND......W 10 W 8 W 8 W 9 W 9 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 5 W 4 W 4 W 5 W 5 W 4 EYE LVL WND GST.15 15 15 15 15 10 DISPERSION IDX..83 16 16 12 14 14 LVORI...........1 4 5 5 5 5 CWR.............10 50 50 50 50 50 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-85 PERCENT) BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN CLEARING IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3600 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 74. LVORI...............3. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...DARBE REQUESTED BY...JASON DEMAS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110221.JONES.01/FFC