FNUS72 KMHX 211218 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 6...CHERRY POINT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 718 AM EST MON FEB 21 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY TODAY...BUT GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER THREAT TODAY MAINLY ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN. ANY FIRES COULD SPREAD RAPIDLY AND BEGIN TO BURN OUT OF CONTROL UNDER THESE CONDITIONS. ANYONE PLANNING TO CONDUCT BURNING TODAY SHOULD DELAY UNTIL TUESDAY IF POSSIBLE. IF BURNING HAS TO BE CONDUCTED...USE EXTREME CAUTION AND HAVE THE NECESSARY TOOLS AVAILABLE TO QUICKLY CONTROL THE FIRE. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY AND DROP THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH WEDNESDAY...THEN SLIDE OFFSHORE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............56 39 35 35 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................61 64 67 68 RH..................72 67 61 61 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 18 SW 21 SW 21 SW 18 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH...DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............35 38 48 58 62 67 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................63 60 59 58 58 57 RH..................72 81 80 80 80 83 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 14 SW 13 SW 14 SW 14 SW 14 SW 16 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 20 15 20 20 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............73 74 64 54 50 46 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP................56 57 58 59 60 59 RH..................83 80 75 67 55 47 20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 17 W 16 NW 15 N 16 N 16 N 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 25 25 25 25 20 $$ FORECASTER...DAIL REQUESTED BY...JOHN MANGUS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110221.UNIT6.02/MHX