FNUS74 KOUN 212318
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR NPS CHIC ERC BURN...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
518 PM CST MON FEB 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1715 CST ON FEBRUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRIER AND COLDER AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. DIMINSHING NORTH WINDS
OVERNIGHT WILL GIVE WAY TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ON TUESDAY. GULF
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS A STORM
SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A DECENT CHANCE
FOR RAIN AND STORMS STARTING LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.


SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 14 MPH.

TIME (CST)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     45     43     40     37     35
RH..............47     49     53     59     67     69
20 FT WIND......N 12   N 7    N 2    N 5    N 5    NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....3600   2900   1700   1300   900    500
MIX HGT (M).....1100   880    520    400    270    150
TRANSPORT WIND..N 14   N 13   N 13   N 10   N 12   NE 15
TRAN WIND (M/S).N 6    N 6    N 6    N 4    N 5    NE 7

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-2900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SOHL
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110221.NPSCH.02/OUN