FNUS72 KFFC 211546
FWSFFC

SPOT FORECAST FOR TURKEY NECK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1046 AM EST MON FEB 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
PREVAIL TODAY. THIS COUPLED WITH DRY FUELS OF 8 PERCENT OR LESS
HAS WARRANTED THE POSTING OF A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FOR NORTH AND
MOST OF CENTRAL GEORGIA TODAY. THE WINDS SHOULD INCREASE BY MID
MORNING... THEN SUBSIDE BY 7 PM THIS EVENING. INCREASING LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL HOLD AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY WELL ABOVE
CRITICAL LEVELS TODAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA
ON TUESDAY... BUT SHOWERS WILL BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED IN COVERAGE
WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH. BEHIND THE FRONT...
A MUCH DRIER AIR MASS WILL SPREAD IN OVER THE AREA... RESULTING IN
TUESDAY AFTERNOON RH LEVELS DIPPING INTO THE 30-40 PERCENT RANGE
FOR MOST AREAS... EXCEPT FOR SOME BRIEF...SPOTTY MID 20 PERCENT RH
VALUES ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA.

THIS FORECAST WAS GENERATED USING DATA FROM SUNDAY EVENING MODEL RUN.
NEW DATA IS NOT AVAILABE YET. FORECAST PACKAGE PREPARED THIS AFTERNOON
WILL INCORPORATE NEW MODEL DATA AND HAVE A BETTER LOOK AT TOMORROW.


.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 25
                    TO 29 MPH.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........70     61     61     61     21     21
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP............55     55     61     66     69     70
RH..............89     85     66     47     35     29
20 FT WIND......W 6    W 7    W 9    W 10   W 13   W 13
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     20     20
LVORI...........4      1      1      1      1      1
CWR.............30     20     20     20     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...MURRELL
REQUESTED BY...TIM KOLNIK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110222.TURKE.01/FFC