FNUS72 KMLB 221324
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 1 5...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
824 AM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GOOD MORNING. AFTER SOME PATCHY MORNING FOG AND LOW
CLOUDS...WESTERLY WIND GUSTS OF 12 TO 16 MPH WILL DEVELOP LATER
THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON AFTER SURFACE HEATING BREAKS THE
LOW LEVEL INVERSION AROUND MID MORNING. ANOTHER WARM DAY AHEAD
WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S UNDER PARTLY SUNNY SKIES. THE OFFSHORE
FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PREVENT A SEA BREEZE. IF A
SEA BREEZE WERE TO DEVELOP IT WOULD BE LATE IN THE DAY. THIS WILL
BE MONITORED. A WEAK FRONT IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE BURN AREA
OVERNIGHT WITH A WIND SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH. LOW
CLOUDS AND FOG SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4500-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....71.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............66  68  70  73  76  78  78  76  73  71  69  67
RH..............90  87  78  73  62  60  60  62  68  76  84  90
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9   9   9   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.                        10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............9.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1700-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....37.

$$
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...RYAN SHARPE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110222.UNIT1.01/MLB