FNUS73 KPAH 221446 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR COTHAM 1-3...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 846 AM CST TUE FEB 22 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON FEBRUARY 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY CONDITIONS AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL RETURN BY WEDNESDAY...AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OF THE AREA...AND ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM EMERGES FROM THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL JUMP UP A BIT ABOVE NORMAL WEDNESDAY...AND INTO THE 60S THURSDAY. PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BEGIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND COME TO AN END WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 49. RH..................35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH AT IGNITION... BECOMING NORTHEAST MID AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............45 46 47 48 47 46 RH..............35 34 34 34 37 41 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE E 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NE TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 6 6 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 29. RH..................MAX 91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1000 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............43 39 36 34 33 32 RH..............51 62 69 75 78 81 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 4 E 4 E 3 E 3 E 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 1700 600 400 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 6 E 10 E 10 E 7 E 6 E 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 54. RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............31 38 49 53 RH..............85 73 56 57 20 FT WIND......E 3G5 SE 5G10 S 6G10 S 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1300 2000 1600 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 SE 13 S 12 S 10 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...KEITH P KELLEY FMO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110222.COTHA.01/PAH