FNUS74 KAMA 272318 FWSAMA SPOT FORECAST FOR MESILLA PARK...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 518 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1700 CST ON FEBRUARY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH 8 PM ACROSS ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. THE MAIN CONCERN IS THE WINDS...WHICH WILL REMAIN VERY STRONG THROUGH AT LEAST 6 PM...BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING AN ABRUPT SHIFT TO NORTHERLY WINDS BETWEEN 10 PM AND MIDNIGHT. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE BREEZY...15 TO 30 MPH...BUT SHOULD DIMINISH FURTHER AFTER MIDNIGHT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF BLOWING DUST EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26. MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST WINDS 23 TO 32 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 15 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 29 TO 36 MPH BECOMING NORTH AROUND 15 MPH. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS WEATHER TYPE....BDT BDT TEMP............64 60 55 50 45 40 36 32 30 28 27 27 RH..............13 16 20 25 34 41 51 54 56 61 63 72 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W NW N N N NW N N 20 FT WIND SPD..32 29 25 24 23 23 22 20 17 16 15 15 20 FT WIND GUST.50 45 40 35 35 30 30 25 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-6000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 1 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 13 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............26 27 41 52 59 61 RH..............71 63 36 22 17 15 20 FT WIND......N 14 NW 12 SW 9 S 7 S 8 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 15 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...M SCOTTEN REQUESTED BY...LAURA BLOUNT TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110223.PLUMC.01/AMA