FNUS74 KEPZ 240128
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR LAKE ROBERTS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
628 PM MST WED FEB 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1744 MST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT WHICH HAS ALREADY MOVED OVER
BURN SITE FROM THE WEST...WILL DROP OVERNIGHT LOWS 8-10 DEGREES FROM THOSE
LAST NIGHT.  WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY...AS DRY
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVERSPREADS THE AREA.  HIGHS WILL RUN 3-5 DEGREES WARMER
THURSDAY AS A RESULT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 9 TO 14 MPH EARLY...DECREASING WITH LOCAL
                    DRAINAGES DEVELOPING TOWARDS MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1800 FT AGL
                    TOWARDS MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 18 KNOTS.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (160200 KNOT-FEET)...BECOMING
                    POOR (21600 KNOT-FEET) TOWARDS MORNING.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING WEST 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800-6000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 17 KNOTS.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (18700 KNOT-FEET)...BECOMING
                    GOOD (91800 KNOT-FEET) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
MAX HUMIDITY........42-46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 4 TO 8 MPH EARLY...DECREASING WITH
                    LOCAL DRAINAGES DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (38800 KNOT-FEET)...LOWERING TO
                    (4500 KNOT-FEET) TOWARDS MORNING.


$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110223.LAKER.01/EPZ