FNUS75 KGJT 231155
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR STORMVEX - AM...NWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
455 AM MST WED FEB 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0429 MST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONT TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE PARK RANGE WILL
HELP STREAM LOW CLOUDS OVER THE STUDY SITE THIS MORNING. THE
CEILING WILL THIN AND LIFT THIS AFTERNOON. THEN MOISTURE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST WILL STREAM OVER THE PARK RANGE TONIGHT AND INCREASE
INTO THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS THIS
                    MORNING. PARTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON.
CLOUD BASES.........2000 TO 4000 FEET AGL ABOVE THE STUDY SITE.
CLOUD TOPS..........12000 TO 14000 FEET MSL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....20-25 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CLOUD BASES.........LOWERING TO THE STUDY SITE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CLOUD TOPS..........15000 FEET MSL INCREASING TO AROUND 20000
                    FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....11-16 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CLOUD BASES.........TO THE MOUNTAIN BASE AT TIMES.
CLOUD TOPS..........20000 FEET MSL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....22-27 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 10-15
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...DUTY FORECASTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110223.STORM.01/GJT