FNUS73 KJKL 221420
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR STRAIGHT CREEK...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
920 AM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL RESIDE OVER THE AREA
TODAY BRINGING CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER AND PATCHY DRIZZLE. THE
COMBINATION OF LOW CLOUDS...COOL TEMPERATURES...PATCHY DRIZZLE AND
LIGHT WINDS WILL RESULT IN VERY LITTLE DRYING AVAILABLE TODAY OR
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TONIGHT...WITH DECREASING
CLOUDS THE RESULT DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL THEN
INCREASE AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS A POTENT STORM
SYSTEM TAKES AIM ON THE REGION. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES MAY
FALL FROM THIS SYSTEM BEFORE IT EXITS TO OUR EAST BY FRIDAY NIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...LIGHT NORTH WIND SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......LIGHT NORTH WIND SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12.

TIME (EST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........20     23     27     32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     55     58     55
RH..............52     43     41     46
20 FT WIND......SE 3   S 3    S 3    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER LATE AT NIGHT.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
POP.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........33     41     52     60     69     80
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............54     51     49     47     46     45
RH..............50     56     63     70     74     78
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 1    S 1    S 1    S 1    S 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      3      3      3

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....23.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........88     92     97     100    100    100
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............44     47     52     56     58     58
RH..............85     79     71     68     66     68
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 5    S 6    S 7    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5             10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...DUSTY
REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110223.STRAI.01/JKL