FNUS73 KLBF 231011 FWSLBF SPOT FORECAST FOR VALLE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 411 AM CST WED FEB 23 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 MST ON FEBRUARY 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH AROUND 10 AM WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AND INCREASING IN SPEED. THE COLD FRONT BECOMES STATIONARY THIS EVENING ACROSS KANSAS AND SURFACE WINDS AT THE BURN SITE BECOME LIGHT NORTHEAST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 48. RH..................31 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 11 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 11 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL UNTIL 1100. 4300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3500-5100 FT AGL AFTER 1400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 28 TO 33 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTH 15 TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR INCREASING TO GOOD LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO GOOD TO VERY GOOD EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO FAIR TO GOOD LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (MST) 3PM 4PM SKY (%).........38 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............47 46 RH..............31 32 20 FT WIND DIR..N N 20 FT WIND SPD..11 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N EYE LVL WND SPD.11 9 EYE LVL WND GST.20 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 21. RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 200-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR. TIME (MST) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM SKY (%).........41 45 52 60 67 74 78 79 82 85 88 91 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... SN SN SN SN SN SN TEMP............43 38 34 31 30 29 27 26 25 24 24 23 RH..............35 42 49 56 60 63 68 68 71 71 71 71 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 EYE LVL WND GST.15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 31. RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 14 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR. TIME (MST) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM SKY (%).........93 93 92 92 91 91 90 90 89 89 88 88 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN TEMP............22 22 22 23 25 27 28 29 30 30 30 29 RH..............74 74 74 71 65 60 58 58 55 55 55 58 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 15 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...COLE REQUESTED BY...MATT GINDER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110223.VALLE.01/LBF