FNUS74 KLZK 231313
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR WALKER ISOLATIONS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
713 AM CST WED FEB 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO
WILL EXIST TODAY AS MOIST...SOUTHERLY MID LEVEL FLOW TRANSPORTS
ELEVATED MOISTURE INTO THE AREA. AT THE SURFACE...NORTHEAST FLOW
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES ON THE COOL SIDE AND DEW POINTS SOMEWHAT
SUPPRESSED.

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP TO THE WEST EARLY THU...THEN
MOVE EAST ACROSS AR THU AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE STATE ON THU...WITH SOME
POTENTIALLY STRONG AND SEVERE. AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO THE REGION FOR FRI
INTO SAT. HOWEVER...ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE STATE
FROM THE WEST ON SUN...WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
AGAIN POSSIBLE SUN AND MON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 60.
RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2100 FT MSL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7
                    MPH.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............56  57  59  60  60  59  59
RH..............68  67  66  67  70  73  73
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   3   3   3   3   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  13  13  13  13  13  13
CHC OF PCPN (%).40  40  40  40  40  40  40

$$
FORECASTER...B SMITH
REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110223.WALKE.01/LZK