FNUS74 KMEG 231426 FWSMEG SPOT FORECAST FOR OVER THE LINE...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 826 AM CST WED FEB 23 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STORMY WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH OVER THE NEXT WEEK WITH A COUPLE OF THREATS OF SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY ALONG WITH A FEW SHOWERS AS A WARM FRONT TAKES SHAPE TO OUR SOUTHWEST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL TO MILD. THE WARM FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION TONIGHT...THEN A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE BY LATE TONIGHT CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY EVENING. AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE MIDSOUTH AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH COOL TO MILD TEMPERATURES. .TODAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. TIME (CST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM CLOUD COVER.....MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%)..40 40 40 40 PRECIP TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMPERATURE.....52 59 62 62 DEWPOINT........36 39 42 45 RH (%)..........55 49 48 53 20FT WIND MPH...SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 20FT WIND GUST..8 8 8 8 MIXHGT M AGL....0 140 398 258 MIXHGT FT AGL...0 460 1309 847 MIXHGT M MSL....121 288 546 407 MIXHGT FT MSL...397 946 1794 1338 TRANS WND M/S...SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 SE 4 TRANS WND MPH...SE 8 SE 9 SE 12 SE 9 CATEGORY DAY....1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM CLOUD COVER.....MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP CHC (%)..60 60 60 60 60 60 PRECIP TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY TEMPERATURE.....60 56 55 56 56 56 DEWPOINT........46 47 47 48 50 51 RH (%)..........60 71 76 75 80 86 20FT WIND MPH...SE 6 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 S 9 S 9 20FT WIND GUST..8 9 11 11 12 12 MIXHGT M AGL....147 31 0 3 0 0 MIXHGT FT AGL...485 104 0 13 0 0 MIXHGT M MSL....295 163 122 151 145 140 MIXHGT FT MSL...970 538 401 498 479 460 TRANS WND M/S...SE 4 SE 4 SE 6 S 7 S 7 S 7 TRANS WND MPH...SE 8 SE 9 SE 13 S 16 S 16 S 15 CATEGORY DAY....1 1 1 1 1 1 .THURSDAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM CLOUD COVER.....CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP CHC (%)..70 70 70 70 70 70 PRECIP TYPE.....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY TEMPERATURE.....56 57 60 67 70 71 DEWPOINT........53 56 59 62 62 63 RH (%)..........92 98 96 81 77 76 20FT WIND MPH...S 9 S 10 S 12 S 13 S 13 S 13 20FT WIND GUST..12 14 16 18 18 18 MIXHGT M AGL....21 151 271 408 846 768 MIXHGT FT AGL...69 496 890 1340 2776 2520 MIXHGT M MSL....168 299 419 556 994 916 MIXHGT FT MSL...554 983 1375 1825 3262 3006 TRANS WND M/S...S 7 S 7 S 7 S 9 S 12 S 12 TRANS WND MPH...S 15 S 15 S 16 S 20 S 26 S 26 CATEGORY DAY....1 1 1 2 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...MCNEIL K. REQUESTED BY...JIM WALDEN AFMO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110223.OVERT.01/MEG