FNUS76 KMFR 230532
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR A-12...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
932 PM PST TUE FEB 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 PST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. LOW PRESSURE
SLOWLY MOVES SOUTH TOWARDS THE BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL
BRING A CHANCE FOR A FEW SCATTERED WET SNOW SHOWERS MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO BURN AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT RESULTING IN INCREASING SNOW SHOWERS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR
A FEW INCHES OF SNOW BY THURSDAY MORNING. LOW PRESSURE REMAINS
NORTHWEST OF THE AREA THURSDAY. AT THE SAME TIME A SERIES OF
DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH WHICH WILL ALLOW SNOW SHOWERS TO CONTINUE.
AT THE SAME TIME COLDER AIR WILL ALSO MOVE INTO THE BURN AREA.

THE OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...COLD AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS
PERSIST FRIDAY...THEN DRY AND COLD SATURDAY WITH GUSTY NORTH WINDS
POSSIBLE. A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES NORTH OF THE BURN AREA SUNDAY...
BUT WILL REMAIN DRY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A FEW WET SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    3 PM PST.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-43.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 0-2 MPH IN THE MORNING. WEST TO NORTHWEST
                    4-6 WITH A FEW GUST TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 5500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 1-3 MPH IN THE MORNING. WEST 13 TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
                    SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-27.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 5-9 WITH A FEW GUST TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING.
                    WEST TO SOUTHWEST 2-5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 16 TO 27 MPH.
CWR.................15 PERCENT IN THE EVENING. 70 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-36.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH IN THE MORNING. WEST
                    TO SOUTHWEST 6-13 WITH OCCASIONAL GUST TO 17 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12-22 MPH IN THE MORNING. SOUTHWEST
                    20-33 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...WILL JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110223.A12__.01/MFR