FNUS74 KOUN 231340
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR NPS CHIC ERC BURN...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
740 AM CST WED FEB 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0755 CST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL TODAY AS
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM NORTHWARD. SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS
WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY. A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM
MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. A COLD FRONT AND DRYLINE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............54     55     58     61     64     63
RH..............59     55     53     50     50     55
20 FT WIND......SE 7   S 8    S 9    S 10   S 10   S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....500    700    1300   1800   2000   2200
MIX HGT (M).....150    210    400    550    610    670
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15  S 14   S 15   S 15   S 15   S 15
TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 7   S 6    S 7    S 7    S 7    S 7

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4600 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    6300-7400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 22
                    TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MAXWELL
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110223.NPSCH.01/OUN