FNUS73 KPAH 222057 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR HODO 1-2...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 257 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY CONDITIONS AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL RETURN BY WEDNESDAY...AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OF THE AREA...AND ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM EMERGES FROM THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL JUMP UP A BIT ABOVE NORMAL WEDNESDAY...AND INTO THE 60S THURSDAY. PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BEGIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND COME TO AN END WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 54. RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............45 49 51 53 53 53 52 RH..............57 54 51 51 54 56 60 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 16 17 17 17 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44. RH..................MAX 97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................66 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 20 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............51 49 48 47 46 46 RH..............66 74 81 83 84 90 20 FT WIND......S 5 SE 5 SE 4 E 4 E 3 NE 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2300 1900 1600 1200 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 S 16 SW 15 SW 14 W 16 N 18 CWR.............70 70 70 70 70 70 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60. RH..................MIN 61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................91 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 2900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 18 TO 26 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............45 50 56 59 RH..............92 83 72 70 20 FT WIND......N 3G5 NE 4G10 NE 4G10 NE 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 2000 2800 2800 TRANSPORT WIND..N 21 NE 20 NE 18 NE 23 CWR.............90 90 90 90 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...KEITH P KELLEY FMO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110223.HODO1.01/PAH